The first istinct fallacy


When Your First Instincts Are Probably Wrong

You’ve probably heard the advice on test-taking before: Always go with your first instinct! Maybe it’s something you repeated to yourself, as I often did, while you were taking exams in school. But there’s a problem with this often-repeated piece of folk wisdom: It is not actually true, according to several decades of scientific studies investigating its veracity. In reality — and, admittedly, this should not be at all shocking — when people go back and change their answers, they’re more likely to switch them from incorrect to correct, according to more than two dozen studies on the subject rounded up by Thomas D. Gilovich, a psychologist at Cornell University who studies critical thinking and belief. ….[READ]


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