The Search for Confirmatory Evidence


How Confirmation Bias Can Lead to a Spinning of Wheels

A very simple experiment suggests that you, the reader of The Upshot, are not in fact the highly rational information processor you might think you are. The problem is that you seek out information that confirms your existing views, a mistake that psychologists call confirmation bias. And your confirmation bias may be the reason that our political debates remain intractable. After all, as you accumulate more evidence confirming your views, you’re less likely to question them, and less likely to change your mind. As members of competing political tribes collect more evidence in favor of their favored views, their opinions harden, and each tribe becomes more convinced of its correctness. ….[READ]


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